WSOP Main Event: Field Size Speculation and Day 1 Choice EV

by , Jul 3, 2009 | 10:35 am

Today is the first day of the 2009 main event. I’m sticking to my guns and saying the field size will be anywhere from 3,000-12,000 and offering 10:1 odds on anything outside of that. Just made a wager on the over for 5,000 … easy. Anyone else wanna offer that line? Seriously, it’s such a wild guessing game, and yet in the end, why do I think it’s gonna be just a few hundred less or just a few hundred more than last year’s main event field of 6,844? People can get their money off of PokerStars, right?

Meanwhile, Team Pokerati final tableist Gregg Merkow won his main event seat last night … and now is trying to figure out the differences between Day 1A-1D:
via Facebook

Winner winner chicken dinner won my seat to the main event in mega sat. today but can’t decide what day to play fri,sat,sun or mon.

Good question. Though as Kevin points out the numbers will likely differ noticeably as the 96 hours that constitute Day 1 progress, is there really a difference in the types of fields you can expect on each day? One more donkey-filled than another, for example (and is that a good or bad thing, lol).

Choosing when to play, of course, is the first of many decisions that will be part of someone’s journey toward becoming the winner. But it may also be the least relevant and simply depend on the player and his or her life schedule.

5 Comments to “WSOP Main Event: Field Size Speculation and Day 1 Choice EV”

  1. brdpoker

    There’s a big difference between the starting days imo… or at least one vs. the others.

    Sunday is Majors day for online players, and I’d be willing to bet money that most of the decent online players avoid that day. My guess would be that today’s and Monday’s field will be tougher than the others, Sunday’s will be easiest. I have no idea how to read Saturday due to the holiday.

  2. Kevin Mathers

    Saturday will have the smallest field, easily.

  3. DanM

    TBR (who is playing Day 1D for personal logistical reasons) suggests that the Bellagio Cup also factors in somehow for pros’ selections.

    I’m not sure I get how it factors in, but will leave open the possibility that there might be something to that.

  4. brdpoker

    Only thing I can think of is that… if one wanted to play in the $3k cup event, they’d have to play Day 1 or 2 so they got Day 2a. Otherwise it’s just scheduling gymnastics to play whichever events they want to play in between WSOP days.

  5. DanM

    ***Saturday will have the smallest field, easily.***

    I’m thinking today will, at 1,116. Wanna make a wager Kevmath? $20?