(Way) Outside the WSOP – Main Event Day 3
by Kevin Mathers, Jul 10, 2009 | 6:50 am
The Main Event resumes today around noon today with the remaining 2,044 entrants expecting to play 5 two-hour levels today. If they follow the procedures in the Staff Resource Guide, hand for hand play should begin with about 670 players remaining, if the eliminations come fast enough. To see the entire list of players, check out the page below:
Follow the tournament updates here with more stuff from Pokerati during the day, hopefully.
DanM says:
July 10th, 2009 at 11:06am
There’s some buzz amongst players (and media) that they might not get to the money tonight. Considering how slow things move once they do get near the bubble, it will be interesting to see what develops toward the end of the day.
Kevin Mathers says:
July 10th, 2009 at 11:09am
I don’t see it happening myself, but when they get to say 700 players will be a factor.
BJ Nemeth says:
July 10th, 2009 at 11:30am
And this is why I said it was ludicrous to think they’d be reaching the money in the first ten levels, which is why it was ludicrous to play only four levels on Days 1a and 1b.
You don’t lose 90% of the field in ten levels with a Main Event-style structure. Here we are wondering whether or not we’re going to lose 90% of the field in fourteen levels.
DanM says:
July 10th, 2009 at 11:40am
We should set an over-under on what level they’ll be reaching the money.
I still don’t see a problem, though, with two flights of players converging after 9 levels each.
BJ Nemeth says:
July 10th, 2009 at 11:43am
There isn’t a problem combining after nine levels, but the point is that there isn’t a problem combining after *10* levels. So why cut Days 1a and 1b short?
If the conspiracy theorists want to claim it keeps players around the Rio longer, that’s fine, but then you have to play the same four levels on Days 1c and 1d. But they couldn’t do that, because those days were so full, they needed to get the field down to a manageable size for Day 2b.
Even if there were only 1,000 players in the Main Event, you could still play five levels on Day 1 and five levels on Day 2. The money will always be about 10% of the field, and you won’t reach that number in ten levels — ever, ever, ever.
Moral of the Story: Stick to the schedule on Day 1.
Kevin Mathers says:
July 10th, 2009 at 11:53am
Agreed on that BJ.
DanM says:
July 10th, 2009 at 11:55am
I’ll take the over on Level 14.5 today.
I’m starting to see your point on the Day 1/Day 2 adjustments … but I still think there’s a bigger logistics issue in play. We’ll see if a floor guy can’t learn me more on what that issue really was.
BJ Nemeth says:
July 10th, 2009 at 12:31pm
You need to clarify what Level 14.5 means. Does that mean halfway through Level 14, or does that mean 14 complete levels, plus half of Level 15?
Basically, is it Level 14.5, or 14.5 levels?
DanM says:
July 10th, 2009 at 12:36pm
i’m saying if the bubble bursts at any time during level 14 (or sooner) … that would be the under. at any point in level 15 (or later) … that’s the over.